According to the poll, Kennedy Agyapong will defeat Bawumia

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According to a recent poll, former Assin Central Member of Parliament Kennedy Ohene Agyapong will defeat former Vice President and 2024 Flagbearer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia with 53.1% of the vote in the upcoming presidential primaries, intensifying the competition for the opposition New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential candidate slot.

According to the poll, Kennedy Agyapong will defeat Bawumia by 53.1% to win the NPP primary.

Sanity Africa, a Pan-African civil society group, performed a Phase Two study in October 2025, which found that Agyapong had solidified his position as the leading candidate among NPP delegates nationwide.

According to the results, his support has increased by 1.7 percentage points since the publication of the Phase One report in July, highlighting his increasing clout inside the party.

Dr Bawumia comes in second with 39.0%, down 3.2 points from the last survey. Other candidates are Ing. Kwabena Agyepong with 0.9% (up from 0.3%), Dr Bryan Acheampong with 5.0% (up 1.9 points), and Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum with 2.0% (down 1.0 point).

15,000 NPP delegates were polled in the nationwide survey, which was carried out from July to October 2025, out of an estimated 218,000 in the party’s expanded voter database throughout all 276 constituencies. It showed a margin of error of ±5% and a 99% confidence level.

Kennedy Agyapong is in the lead in ten of Ghana’s sixteen regions, including the NPP strongholds of Ashanti (54.8%), Central (69.0%), and Eastern (54.8%). However, Dr Bawumia continues to hold sway over six regions, particularly in the north, such as the Upper West (60.2%) and North East (70.0%).

According to the report, there are still close races in Bono East, Savannah, and Upper East. Agyapong has made notable gains in the Volta (50.8%) and Bono (53.1%) regions, while Dr Bawumia has solidified his hold on the Northeast Region, rising from 51.6% to 70.0%.

Additionally, Dr Bryan Acheampong noted that support has increased to 21.7% in his native Eastern area.

These geographical changes, according to Sanity Africa, are a reflection of changing delegate preferences impacted by candidate participation, regional attitudes, and campaign tactics. The organisation came to the conclusion that Kennedy Agyapong is currently in the lead and, should the trend continue, might become the NPP’s presidential candidate.

It did, however, issue a warning that the race is still open and that the outcome will probably be influenced by grassroots mobilisation, campaign messaging, and endorsements.

According to the poll, Kennedy Agyapong will defeat Bawumia by 53.1% to win the NPP primary.

ByFlyfmgh

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